Investment bank KBW has initiated coverage of Bullish (BLSH), the owner of CoinDesk, assigning it a market perform rating and establishing a price target of $55. Analysts describe Bullish as a distinctive opportunity in the public markets, noting its position as a highly regulated cryptocurrency exchange aimed at institutional investors.
KBW sees immediate opportunities for expansion in the U.S. as a key driver for future growth. The firm highlights Bullish’s unique technology stack, competitive fee structure, and significant liquidity as factors that could enhance its market share in the competitive crypto landscape. Bullish’s regulatory presence, including licenses in Germany, Hong Kong, and Gibraltar, positions it favorably to attract institutional traders and facilitate a global order book that integrates Asian and European markets, according to analyst Bill Papanastasiou.
The investment bank has also pointed out Bullish’s collaborative efforts with regulators in Gibraltar to develop a fully crypto-enabled clearinghouse, reinforcing its credibility as a provider of market infrastructure within the industry.
In terms of revenue diversity, Bullish has expanded its portfolio through acquisitions of CoinDesk and CCData, which are expected to generate stable income from data services, indices, and liquidity offerings, potentially accounting for over 40% of total revenue by fiscal year 2027. The CoinDesk platform adds a dimension of optionality, allowing for engagement with retail users, who typically yield higher profit margins.
KBW forecasts that Bullish will gain market share in the U.S. due in part to its lower transaction fees, approximately 1.6 basis points compared to the about 3 basis points charged by Coinbase, along with its robust liquidity. The approval of a New York BitLicense is seen as a significant milestone; however, KBW believes that a national rollout is likely to proceed even without it.
Currently, Bullish shares are trading flat around $51.81. While the initial valuation keeps the rating neutral, analysts from KBW observe potential upside if Bullish successfully implements its expansion strategy and leverages opportunities for retail engagement.