Recent government data highlights a concerning trend: the share of long-term unemployed individuals holding college degrees is increasing. This analysis, conducted by researchers at the University of Chicago, points to several underlying factors, including the growing integration of artificial intelligence into the workforce, evolving labor market dynamics, and a significant skills gap between what graduates are trained in and what employers actually need.
Andreas Mueller, a noted expert on long-term unemployment from the University of Zurich, remarked on this restructuring in the labor market, stating, “People are losing jobs and can’t find jobs in high-skilled occupations.” This reflects a shift in employment patterns that is leaving many educated workers struggling to find suitable positions.
A report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis further emphasizes the challenges faced by new college graduates. As the job market softened following the pandemic recovery, these graduates saw their average unemployment rate rise to 4.59% by 2025, marking a significant increase compared to the overall labor force unemployment rate.
Philip Oreopoulos, a professor of economics and public policy at the University of Toronto, points out that the fast-paced evolution of the labor market is impacting hiring preferences. “Employers are not currently looking for recent college graduates like they used to,” he noted. He attributes this change to either current employees taking on broader roles or firms altering their productivity models, which reduces the demand for typical skills associated with a college degree.
Compounding these challenges, the Cengage Group’s 2025 Graduate Employability Report found alarming figures: only 30% of 2025 college graduates and 41% of 2024 graduates secured entry-level positions in their respective fields. Michael Hansen, CEO of Cengage, emphasized that there is an urgent need to address the widening gap in career readiness. He stated that technological advancements, particularly in AI, are driving demand for upskilling, which is essential for preparing students for future employment opportunities.
Hansen argued that bridging this skills mismatch is vital for narrowing the wealth gap. “When people can put their skills to work, they gain not just income, but also purpose, dignity, and the stability that comes with building a sustainable career,” he explained. He called for a collaborative effort across the education system to ensure that it adapts to the ever-changing job landscape, underscoring the importance of equipping learners with relevant skills for the future.