Ishiba’s recent resignation as prime minister may have created a brief distraction, but the financial markets are now settling into a more familiar rhythm. In this context, the USD/JPY currency pair is beginning to realign itself with other dollar-denominated assets, as the dollar continues to experience a downward trend that started at the end of last week.
Traders who previously capitalized on market gaps are likely feeling confident following the notable upward gap observed yesterday, which has not materialized into additional significant movement since then. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) appears to be maintaining its consistent approach, as suggested by recent developments.
Currently, the USD/JPY is witnessing a decline of nearly 0.7%, trading around the 146.54 mark. This downward movement has stirred interest among technical analysts, particularly with regard to key support levels. Notably, daily support sits between 146.55 and 146.60. A breach of this support could trigger a more extensive downturn, potentially testing the 100-day moving average, which is positioned at approximately 145.90.
Market watchers should pay close attention to this technical level, as the pressure from today’s downward movement may extend further before encountering resistance.
In terms of broader trends, the USD/JPY has largely been confined within the parameters set by its 100 and 200-day moving averages since July, with only a fleeting surge above 150.00 noted at the end of that month. This pattern suggests that while there are opportunities for short-term trading strategies, the currency pair’s longer-term trajectory remains uncertain as it navigates through established ranges.