A prominent crypto commentator, known as AI Man, has issued strong advice to Hedera (HBAR) holders amidst growing concerns and negative sentiment within the community. In a recent video, he argues that the widespread capitulation observed in the comment sections is a misplaced reaction. He emphasizes that HBAR, currently priced between $0.10 and $0.11, is “extremely oversold” according to long-term price charts. AI Man contends that this technical setup mirrors previous periods leading to substantial price rallies, notably the last one that saw HBAR climb from approximately $0.04 to $0.40, suggesting a significant upside potential.
The core of AI Man’s argument revolves around HBAR’s weekly “all-time” chart and its Relative Strength Index (RSI). He points out that the current RSI has reached levels seen only three times in Hedera’s history: during the FTX collapse, at the lows of the 2024 bear market, and now. He posits that the current state is more oversold than during early 2024 before a dramatic move from $0.04 to $0.40. With this historical context, he projects a price target of $1 to $2 per HBAR by 2026, asserting that this moment could be the bottom or very close to it.
In addition to his chart analysis, AI Man highlights emerging investment vehicles as potential catalysts for HBAR’s price recovery. He notes that the Canary Capital HBAR ETF has acquired approximately 500 million HBAR, which accounts for about 1% of the total maximum supply, within just a few months of its launch. AI Man anticipates that other HBAR products, such as a possible Grayscale fund and multi-asset “basket” ETFs, will emerge in 2026, although these remain speculative at this stage.
The video also touches on the fundamental strengths of Hedera, referencing over 70 billion transactions processed on its mainnet and comparing its activity level to that of other prominent networks like Solana and the XRP Ledger. AI Man argues that these fundamentals, combined with a governing council that includes major corporations like Google, IBM, LG, and T-Mobile, position HBAR well to target Solana’s market cap, which could imply a value of around $1.90 per HBAR.
Overall, AI Man’s analysis is decidedly bullish, positioning the current phase as a potentially generational buy opportunity for HBAR investors. He frames his narrative against a backdrop of bearish sentiment, encouraging holders not to sell blindly during a downturn, as he suggests major catalysts are aligning for the token in 2026. The key takeaway for investors is not just the ambitious $1–$2 target but rather the sentiment that HBAR’s current price drop is being mispriced by the market, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
In response to the insights shared in the video, several questions arise about the veracity of the price targets, the confirmation of more HBAR ETFs, and the reliability of RSI as a predictive tool. While AI Man provides a robust analysis grounded in historical data, the volatility and unpredictability of the crypto market remain ever-present concerns for investors navigating their strategies during this uncertain period.
