Prominent market analyst Ali Martinez has provided valuable insights into the Chainlink market, highlighting a potentially bullish outlook despite recent fluctuations in the altcoin’s price. Chainlink (LINK) has experienced a nearly 5% decline over the past 24 hours, particularly following two rejections at the $24.80 resistance level.
In a recent post on X, Martinez emphasized the importance of the $25 resistance zone, which is critical for the next bullish movement of LINK. The analyst pointed out that Chainlink is currently constricting within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with volatility decreasing in anticipation of a major breakout.
Currently trading around $23.60, LINK sits just below the significant $24.80–$25 range, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Martinez suggests that if LINK can overcome this resistance, it could pave the way toward the $27.85 mark—corresponding to the 1.0 Fibonacci extension—before setting its sights on $30.12, the 1.272 Fibonacci level. Should bullish momentum persist, even higher targets like $31.39 may come into play.
However, the symmetrical triangle formation indicates a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with indecision dominating the market. As price action coalesces near the triangle’s apex, the likelihood of a breakout increases. Should market demand intensify, breaching the $25 level could serve as a catalyst for a more extensive rally.
Conversely, if LINK fails to penetrate this resistance, it could retrace to support levels around $23.30 (0.382 Fibonacci level). In a bearish scenario, a broken triangle pattern could lead to potential support zones at $22.30 (0.236 Fib) or even $20.85 (0).
Currently, Chainlink is trading at $23.61 and has seen a 6.02% decline over the past week, further emphasizing its struggles, with an 11.30% drop observed over the last month. Nonetheless, recent insights from Coin Bureau indicate that Chainlink may be on the verge of a supply shock, as exchange balances have hit their lowest since 2022. This decrease suggests that holders are moving their coins off exchanges, thus alleviating immediate sell pressure and tightening supply.
Martinez also reported a surge in whale activity, with nearly 2 million LINK tokens accumulated within the last 48 hours, reflecting strong confidence from major investors. This combination of dwindling exchange liquidity and aggressive accumulation by whales often precedes a substantial price rally, as demand begins to outstrip the available supply.