Hedera (HBAR) is experiencing continued downward pressure as it recently confirmed a three-month-long wedge pattern. This decline has been accompanied by a noticeable erosion in investor confidence, with HBAR now relying heavily on the performance of Bitcoin (BTC) for any potential recovery. The recent signs of strength in BTC could play a critical role in determining HBAR’s next move; if Bitcoin sustains its upward momentum, it may provide HBAR with an opportunity to rebound.
Investor sentiment surrounding HBAR has reached a concerning low, with its weighted sentiment indicator hitting an all-time low. This decline indicates that traders are increasingly skeptical about HBAR’s prospects in the short term, reflecting a broader volatility in the market that has led to a cautious approach among participants. Such pessimism could constrain capital flows into the Hedera network, limiting potential inflows unless a surge of optimism revitalizes market activity.
Recent data shows a strong correlation of 0.92 between Hedera and Bitcoin, underscoring how tightly linked the performance of HBAR is to that of BTC. Should Bitcoin maintain its current upward trajectory and surpass the $108,000 mark, HBAR could follow suit and see a similar lift in value. This positive correlation could provide some degree of advantage for HBAR as Bitcoin appears to stabilize, but the risk remains that if BTC faces renewed selling pressure, HBAR could be pulled down alongside it.
As of now, HBAR is trading at approximately $0.167, hovering just below a significant resistance level at $0.172. The altcoin remains caught within a descending broadening wedge, a technical formation that often precedes bullish breakouts under the right market conditions. Should Bitcoin’s strength continue, HBAR may have the potential to breach the resistance levels at $0.172 and $0.180, targeting a short-term objective of $0.188. Achieving this price point is vital for HBAR to validate its bullish pattern.
On the flip side, if negative sentiment persists and investor inactivity deepens, HBAR could face declines below the $0.163 mark, potentially falling to $0.154. Breaching this support level would negate any bullish outlook and indicate heightened risks of further declines. Thus, the future trajectory of HBAR remains closely tied to both investor sentiment and the performance of Bitcoin in the coming days.

