As the open enrollment period for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) health care marketplaces commenced on November 1, many shoppers are experiencing significant increases in insurance premiums, leading to a sense of anxiety and confusion. The expiration of enhanced premium tax credits, put in place during the COVID-19 pandemic, has resulted in some individuals facing premiums that have nearly doubled.
Cynthia Cox, vice president and ACA program director at KFF, characterized this enrollment period as “probably the most chaotic” since the marketplaces were established. These tax credits were crucial for making health insurance more affordable for many Americans. They initially helped individuals earning up to 400% of the federal poverty level but were expanded to include those with higher incomes during the pandemic, allowing for sliding scale subsidies that provided increased aid.
Statistics from the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services support this trend: In 2020, 84% of marketplace customers received premium tax credits, which rose to 92% the following year. The average monthly premium cost without these tax credits was $584 in 2020 and $619 last year. However, when accounting for tax credits, monthly payments decreased from $162 in 2020 to $113 in 2021.
The enhanced subsidies, introduced under the American Rescue Plan Act in 2021, expired on September 30, which coincided with the current government shutdown, further complicating matters. Congressional Democrats are pushing for an extension of these subsidies, while Republicans favor passing a government budget first before addressing the subsidies, leading to a legislative stalemate.
As consumers navigate this challenging landscape, experts advise them not to rush into decisions. The marketplaces will remain open until at least December 15 for coverage starting in the new year, and many states have longer enrollment periods. Health policy analyst Louise Norris suggests that Thanksgiving may be a prime time for families to review their health insurance options together, allowing for additional time for potential legislative changes.
Three key recommendations are offered for marketplace shoppers:
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Take Your Time: Consumers are encouraged to familiarize themselves with their options and remain flexible as they assess plans. Potential changes in subsidies may still occur before the enrollment period closes.
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Seek Professional Assistance: Given the influx of inquiries expected this year, early consultation with insurance agents, brokers, or navigators is advisable. These experts can guide consumers through the complexities of their options. Funding cuts to navigators may limit their availability, making early appointments critical for those seeking clarity.
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Evaluate Health and Financial Needs: Buyers should reflect on their health status and financial situation when selecting a plan, considering options like cost-sharing assistance for silver plans or lower-premium bronze plans for those with minimal health care needs. If Congress reverts to the pre-2021 subsidy structure, contributing to a Health Savings Account (HSA) can be beneficial for individuals navigating the subsidy thresholds.
In light of anticipated increases in health care costs, even with potential extensions of subsidies, individuals should prepare to budget more for health expenses in 2024. Changes in federal calculations for out-of-pocket maximums have raised the cap from $9,200 to $10,600 for individuals, indicating that most consumers will face higher health care costs either through increased premiums or higher deductibles in their selected plans.
As the enrollment period unfolds, awareness and preparation are essential for consumers navigating these changes in the ACA marketplace.

