Investors in Solana (SOL) are currently navigating a landscape marked by increasing volatility, driven primarily by a notable uptick in whale activity that has raised alarms about potential selling pressure in the market. Following a robust rally that saw SOL trading above $250 earlier this month, the sentiment is shifting as large holders begin to deposit significant amounts of tokens into centralized exchanges.
Recent data from blockchain tracker Whale Alert highlights a particularly alarming development: on September 21, an astonishing 312,233 SOL, valued at approximately $75.1 million, was transferred from an unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional. This substantial transfer has sparked concerns that whale investors are preparing to sell their holdings. Adding to the unease, another transaction on the same day saw 227,928 SOL, worth around $54.5 million, also deposited on Coinbase. Collectively, these transactions signify a potential sell-off of over $129 million in Solana.
The implications are considerable, as large holders often move tokens to exchanges with selling intentions, which could significantly increase downward pressure on the market. Although Solana’s price has experienced a rally driven by strong demand, the latest whale deposits raise the specter of oversupply, particularly as SOL’s current price hovers near $224. If these whales proceed to sell, it may hinder SOL’s bullish momentum and potentially retract its value to lower support levels.
This surge in whale activity is not unprecedented. Earlier in the month, analytics platform Lookonchain reported additional sizable transfers involving whales. For example, a wallet identified as “CMJiHu” sent 96,996 SOL (approximately $17.45 million) to Coinbase, while another wallet named “5PjMxa” transferred 91,890 SOL (around $15.98 million) to Kraken. Additionally, a wallet labeled “HiN7sS” moved 37,658 SOL ($6.73 million) to Binance, securing profits of $1.63 million. The observed pattern of significant token movements suggests a trend where whales are increasingly reducing their market exposure in response to shifting sentiment.
Crypto analysts are now assessing Solana’s position at a critical juncture, balancing its robust fundamentals against the mounting pressures of selling. Market expert Tom Tucker noted that while SOL has surged over 150% in 2025, the rally appears to be losing steam. His analysis reveals a rising wedge formation, typically indicative of an impending price breakdown, combined with diminishing momentum indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a narrowing triangle—an indication of indecision in the market—while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has flattened after demonstrating strength in previous months.
Despite these bearish signals, the outlook for Solana isn’t entirely pessimistic. Tucker emphasizes potential catalysts for sustained growth, including the anticipated launch of a Solana ETF, the forthcoming Alpenglow upgrade, and consistent treasury accumulation. These factors could serve as a foundation for SOL’s long-term resilience and growth, even amidst the current volatility and selling pressure from whale activity.