Ripple’s XRP has emerged as a focal point for analysts, who caution that its performance around the critical $1.91 support level will be pivotal in determining its trajectory toward a potential price range of $4.43 to $7.90. This assessment arises from a convergence of Elliott Wave projections, historical accumulation patterns, and a recent uptick in U.S. regulatory momentum, spurring discussions about whether XRP is primed for a significant breakout or poised for another downturn.
The XRP chart presents warnings, with analysts pointing towards a possible wave-B corrective phase, which has previously led to substantial declines. Historically, XRP has witnessed dramatic drops, such as an approximate 80% fall from its 2018 peak of $3.84.
According to one analyst, XRP is currently adhering to the “3 Red Week Down Rule,” and utilizing historical and technical strategies has been yielding substantial returns. Data from TradingView shows that XRP has been entrenched in an 8-year accumulation pattern, raising questions on whether this cycle will culminate in a breakout or further decline in value, a concern for investors following current news developments surrounding XRP.
In addition to technical factors, political and regulatory dynamics are increasingly influencing the XRP price forecast. On September 22, 2025, TradingView News reported progress in Washington with bipartisan efforts aimed at advancing regulatory measures for cryptocurrencies. This shift challenges the perception of a largely unregulated environment and could enhance institutional adoption of Ripple’s XRP.
Market sentiment is also being shaped by the anticipation surrounding various XRP-spot ETF applications, with entities like Grayscale, WisdomTree, and CoinShares awaiting approval. A favorable decision could significantly amplify demand, laying the groundwork for a potential Grayscale XRP ETF product.
Recently, XRP has experienced volatility, dropping sharply after testing above the $3 mark, consistent with broader trends in the cryptocurrency market. Technical analysis indicates that the $3.10 resistance level has proven to be a robust barrier, while support levels between $2.70 and $2.80 have remained steadfast.
At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at approximately $2.86, marking a 1.80% increase over the past 24 hours. Technical indicators suggest that selling pressure may be subsiding; the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered oversold territory, signaling the potential for recovery, and the MACD histogram is beginning to indicate a resurgence in momentum, which could bolster XRP’s near-term price.
For investors closely monitoring XRP’s price, the $1.91 support level has become a linchpin. Analysts contend that maintaining this threshold is essential for facilitating a broader recovery into the aforementioned price range of $4.43 to $7.90. They believe that a sustained move above the established resistance at $3.10 would further corroborate the optimistic viewpoint. “XRP must hold $1.91 to confirm bullish continuation. If that level fails, a corrective phase could occur before the next upward cycle begins,” emphasized an analysis shared on social media.
Looking forward, a sense of optimism prevails among investors, especially when considering XRP’s predictions for 2025. Some analysts suggest that favorable macroeconomic factors, such as prospective U.S. interest rate cuts and the integration of cryptocurrencies into 401(k) retirement accounts, could serve as significant tailwinds for XRP and the market at large.
The resolution of the longstanding SEC lawsuit against Ripple continues to exert influence on investor sentiment. Earlier in the year, the conclusion of the case alleviated substantial regulatory uncertainty, and recent developments have indicated that Ripple is positioning itself for growth opportunities, including pursuing a potential initial public offering (IPO) and a U.S.-chartered banking license.
In summary, the outlook for Ripple’s XRP remains finely poised. While historical volatility and established resistance levels pose substantial challenges, experts highlight that if support at $1.91 is sustained, there remains an opportunity for XRP to escalate rapidly. The confluence of regulatory advancements, ETF approvals, and shifting macroeconomic conditions makes it imperative for traders to stay vigilant as they assess whether XRP can consolidate and progress toward the targeted price range in the upcoming months.
