Many analysts believe that the cryptocurrency XRP could significantly increase in value if its utility in global payments continues to expand. A recent analysis has raised questions about the potential of XRP to match the United States’ M1 money supply, estimated at $18.4559 trillion in January 2025 according to CEIC Data. This figure reflects the most liquid segment of the U.S. financial system and indicates substantial capital flow.
Currently, XRP trades at approximately $1.91, with a circulating supply of 60 billion and a total supply nearing 100 billion, resulting in a market cap of around $115 billion. Exploring the implications of XRP’s market value reaching the M1 level reveals two intriguing valuation scenarios.
Under the first scenario, if the valuation were based on XRP’s total supply of 99.98 billion tokens, this would push the price per XRP to $184. For current holders, this could mean a dramatic increase in wealth; for example, an investor with 5,000 XRP, which costs about $10,000 today, would see their investment balloon to around $920,000. Notably, there are over 593,000 XRP wallets that hold between 1,000 and 5,000 tokens, and approximately 176,000 wallets hold between 5,000 and 10,000 tokens, suggesting that many retail investors could see their fortunes radically improve.
Alternatively, if XRP’s market valuation were to be calculated using just the 60 billion circulating tokens, the price could soar to $307. In this scenario, a 5,000 XRP holding would be valued at about $1.53 million, representing an extraordinary potential upside of 15,889%.
However, the question remains: Can XRP realistically achieve prices of $184 or $307? Analysts at Changelly maintain a highly optimistic outlook, predicting XRP could reach $184 by early 2040 and even rise to $307 shortly thereafter. Conversely, Telegaon presents a more conservative view, suggesting that XRP might peak at around $128 by 2050 and does not expect it to reach the $300 mark in the foreseeable future.
Despite these differing projections, both analyses indicate the possibility for significant upside in XRP’s valuation. In this theoretical situation where XRP’s value aligns with the M1 money supply, the potential returns for a 5,000-XRP portfolio could range from $920,000 to $1.53 million, depending on whether the total or circulating supply is considered.
While these potential valuations paint a promising picture for XRP, it is essential for investors to conduct their own thorough research before making any financial decisions. This content serves as informational and should not be viewed as financial advice, as it reflects opinions that do not necessarily represent consensus within the cryptocurrency community.

